Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024622 0.026728 0.028931 0.031406 0.034113 0.036984 0.040263
2025-08-03 0.020947 0.023952 0.027272 0.031221 0.035797 0.040941 0.047178
2025-08-10 0.018835 0.022383 0.026470 0.031540 0.037678 0.044893 0.054052
2025-08-17 0.016924 0.020741 0.025286 0.031119 0.038438 0.047359 0.059118
2025-08-24 0.015361 0.019324 0.024178 0.030591 0.038888 0.049322 0.063534
2025-08-31 0.014185 0.018263 0.023384 0.030328 0.039562 0.051504 0.068262
2025-09-07 0.013203 0.017356 0.022692 0.030100 0.040199 0.053602 0.072928
2025-09-14 0.012384 0.016595 0.022118 0.029955 0.040889 0.055751 0.077733
2025-09-21 0.011589 0.015806 0.021443 0.029603 0.041234 0.057398 0.081880
2025-09-28 0.011033 0.015301 0.021113 0.029689 0.042168 0.059884 0.087340
2025-10-05 0.010448 0.014718 0.020631 0.029514 0.042690 0.061777 0.092002
2025-10-12 0.010010 0.014314 0.020373 0.029634 0.043629 0.064301 0.097735
2025-10-19 0.009593 0.013938 0.020160 0.029849 0.044784 0.067311 0.104579
2025-10-26 0.009082 0.013397 0.019680 0.029637 0.045284 0.069364 0.110084
2025-11-02 0.008749 0.013100 0.019542 0.029933 0.046574 0.072708 0.117882
2025-11-09 0.008268 0.012550 0.018986 0.029534 0.046726 0.074227 0.122739
2025-11-16 0.007802 0.011998 0.018392 0.029035 0.046672 0.075388 0.127036
2025-11-23 0.007431 0.011572 0.017973 0.028787 0.047003 0.077186 0.132526
2025-11-30 0.007094 0.011184 0.017590 0.028571 0.047366 0.079041 0.138218
2025-12-07 0.006798 0.010845 0.017268 0.028434 0.047846 0.081108 0.144408
2025-12-14 0.006482 0.010457 0.016845 0.028101 0.047959 0.082530 0.149488
2025-12-21 0.006269 0.010229 0.016673 0.028183 0.048798 0.085274 0.157208
2025-12-28 0.006022 0.009931 0.016369 0.028018 0.049180 0.087204 0.163492